With Super Bowl LVII behind us, all 32 NFL teams have officially entered the 2023 offseason. A lot lies ahead for each franchise, including changes to coaching staffs, rosters, front offices and schemes. We're here to break down what each team must do over the next six months to improve.
Our NFL Nation reporters picked out one big offseason priority for the team they cover, hitting anything from finding a new quarterback to figuring out what went wrong on defense. Then they identified an under-the-radar priority that should be considered this spring. NFL analyst Field Yates weighed in on one looming free agent decision for each club, and draft experts Matt Miller and Jordan Reid picked out what you need to know about every team's draft outlook. And finally, Football Outsiders' Aaron Schatz made one big prediction for each team's offseason, including a few interesting trade possibilities.
Let's dig in on how every team can get better this offseason. ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI), total draft picks and projected salary cap (via OverTheCap) are as of the end of the regular season. This originally posted after Week 18, and teams have been added -- grouped by when they were eliminated -- as their offseasons have begun.
Jump to:
ARI | ATL | BAL | BUF | CAR | CHI | CIN
CLE | DAL | DEN | DET | GB | HOU | IND
JAX | KC | LV | LAC | LAR | MIA | MIN
NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT | SF
SEA | TB | TEN | WSH
Teams that played in the Super Bowl
Kansas City Chiefs
2022 record: 14-3
Final FPI ranking: No. 2
Estimated 2023 cap space: $28.4 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 10
First-round slot: No. 31
Biggest offseason priority: The Chiefs could use some help at wide receiver. JuJu Smith-Schuster may have played his way into a big contract elsewhere, and Mecole Hardman may find more money and playing time with another team. That would leave Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Skyy Moore and Kadarius Toney as the top three wide receivers, and they have 80 receptions between them. So the Chiefs would need plenty of help, whether it comes in free agency, the draft or both.
Under-the-radar offseason priority: With defensive tackle Chris Jones heading into the final season of his contract, the Chiefs need to decide whether to extend him now or risk him becoming a free agent in 2024. Jones had 15.5 sacks this season, and his 21.5% pass rush win rate from the inside led all defensive tackles. He has also led the Chiefs in sacks in each of the previous four seasons. -- Adam Teicher
Will they re-sign left tackle Orlando Brown Jr.? Yes. The Chiefs and Brown tried to make a deal happen last offseason when the franchise tag negotiating window was still open, and I suspect the same motivation exists now. A second franchise tag would be a massive cost, but it might be the bridge needed to buy time to execute a long-term deal. He posted a 91.8% pass block win rate this year, 18th among tackles. -- Yates
Draft outlook: The Chiefs have huge needs at offensive tackle and defensive end, and Tennessee's Darnell Wright could be an option late in Round 1. Some scouts believe that he's the best right tackle in the draft. -- Reid
Big prediction for the offseason: The Chiefs will place the franchise tag on Brown for a second straight year. The Chiefs like Brown, and the free agent market for left tackles is not strong at all. With Andrew Wylie also on an expiring deal, Kansas City will have to shore up both tackle spots, and a tag could help lock down one of them. -- Schatz
Philadelphia Eagles
2022 record: 14-3
Final FPI ranking: No. 5
Estimated 2023 cap space: $14.4 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 6
First-round slot: Nos. 10, 30
Biggest offseason priority: The Eagles will likely be addressing Jalen Hurts' contract situation, as he is eligible for a new deal after this season. Typically when core players are identified, the Eagles like to lock them into extensions as soon as possible, knowing the price in the NFL is always on the rise. Management needs to figure out if the two sides are in the same ballpark when it comes to compensation and hammer out a plan accordingly. Hurts finished the season fourth in QBR (66.7) and total touchdowns (35).
Under-the-radar offseason priority: The secondary will need some attention. Cornerback James Bradberry (17 pass breakups and three interceptions) and safety C.J. Gardner-Johnson (six interceptions) -- both key contributors in 2022 -- are pending free agents. The guess here is only one will be re-signed, leaving a starting spot vacant. -- Tim McManus
Will they re-sign center Jason Kelce? Yes. No team has a longer list of notable free agents than the Eagles, but Kelce is their heart and soul. As long as he wants to keep playing football, he'll be in Philly -- and with a deal somewhere in the $10 million range as a reasonable approximation. Even at 35 years old, he was eighth in pass block win rate among centers (95.5%). -- Yates
Draft outlook: The Eagles have the Saints' first-round pick in addition to their own. That's a good thing since Javon Hargrave, Fletcher Cox, Ndamukong Suh and Linval Joseph are all scheduled to become free agents. The team's identity is centered around thriving in the trenches, so Philly is likely to address the defensive line early and often. -- Reid
Big prediction for the offseason: The Eagles will draft a cornerback with that No. 10 selection they received from New Orleans. Bradberry will likely need to be replaced, and top candidates include Cam Smith of South Carolina, Christian Gonzalez of Oregon and Kelee Ringo of Georgia. -- Schatz
Teams that were eliminated in the conference championships
Cincinnati Bengals
2022 record: 12-4
Final FPI ranking: No. 4
Estimated 2023 cap space: $48.9 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 7
First-round slot: No. 28
Biggest offseason priority: It's time to extend Joe Burrow. The Bengals' star quarterback will be eligible for a contract extension this offseason, a fact the front office has been well aware of for several months. That deal -- and the money involved -- will determine Cincinnati's course for years to come. Burrow has a stellar 81-31 touchdown-to-interception ratio over three seasons, and his 3.9% completion percentage over expectation since being drafted in 2020 ranks No. 1 in the NFL (NFL Next Gen Stats).
Under-the-radar offseason priority: It isn't just Burrow. The Bengals need to figure out the rest of the 2020 draft class. Wide receiver Tee Higgins and linebacker Logan Wilson will also be eligible for extensions, and both players have been instrumental to Cincinnati's success over the past two seasons. Higgins now has back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons, while Wilson has led the team in tackles in back-to-back years. -- Ben Baby
Will they re-sign safety Jessie Bates III? Yes. The Bengals are about to enter "good problem to have" territory, as the bill comes due as soon as this offseason with extensions for Burrow and Higgins. Ja'Marr Chase is extension-eligible in 2024, and planning has to start now. But Bates has made far too many plays during his tenure for the Bengals to let him go, including five picks over the past three seasons. It'll cost a deal near the top of the market for safeties to keep him, though. -- Yates
Draft outlook: The Bengals could look to add another player to their secondary in Round 1, particularly at cornerback. This year's class is loaded with options there. But don't count out addressing offensive tackle, too. Cincinnati still needs to add more protection for Burrow, especially after La'el Collins tore his ACL in his left knee. -- Reid
Big prediction for the offseason: The Bengals will watch both of their coordinators get multiple interviews in the head-coach hiring process. Defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo will end up staying, while offensive coordinator Brian Callahan gets hired by another team and replaced in Cincinnati by quarterbacks coach Dan Pitcher. -- Schatz
San Francisco 49ers
2022 record: 13-4
Final FPI ranking: No. 6
Estimated 2023 cap space: $14.5 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 6
First-round slot: None
Biggest offseason priority: What's the plan at quarterback? Rookie Brock Purdy has made a strong impression, but the sample is still small. Trey Lance will be coming off an ankle injury but has now gone two full seasons without establishing himself, though he still has plenty of potential. The most likely scenario is probably a competition between Purdy and Lance for the job. It's fair to wonder, though, if the 49ers will look at veteran options such as (yet another) reunion with Jimmy Garoppolo.
Under-the-radar offseason priority: San Francisco will likely focus on bringing back cornerback Emmanuel Moseley. He was playing like a No. 1 corner before tearing his left ACL in October. Based on his early-season performance (five pass breakups and an interceptions in five games), retaining Moseley might be difficult -- but the injury might have altered his market to make it more palatable. Now the Niners have to determine his price and how high they can go to keep him. If they can't, cornerback suddenly becomes a pressing need. -- Nick Wagoner
Will they re-sign quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo? No. He has been invaluable to San Francisco. He is wonderfully respected and has helped win a lot of games. But with Purdy's ascent and the investment in Lance, there's a likelihood that Jimmy G will be coveted elsewhere as a free agent. He threw 16 touchdown passes over 11 games this season. -- Yates
Draft outlook: The 49ers are low on early picks after the trade up in 2021 to get Lance and the move this year to land running back Christian McCaffrey. Their projected six picks all come late in Round 3 or on Day 3 of the draft, so the 49ers can't be thinking instant starters. Maybe someone like offensive tackle Cody Mauch (North Dakota State) or cornerback DJ Turner (Michigan) makes sense down the board? -- Miller
Big prediction for the offseason: The 49ers will sign Nick Bosa to a new long-term contract. He's due almost $18 million in 2023, the final year of his rookie deal, so an extension would lower his cap hit next season while also guaranteeing him more total money and securing him for the long term. His 18.5 sacks led the league in 2022, and he's still only 25 years old. -- Schatz
Teams that were eliminated in the divisional round
Dallas Cowboys
2022 record: 12-5
Final FPI ranking: No. 3
Estimated 2023 cap space: $8.6 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 6
First-round slot: No. 26
Biggest offseason priority: Sign receiver CeeDee Lamb and/or cornerback Trevon Diggs to a long-term extension. This is the first offseason in which the Pro Bowlers can sign new deals, and both will be expensive. But they need to get at least one done this offseason in order to bring some cost stability to their long-term salary cap situation. Without a deal for either guy, the Cowboys will be treading water when it comes to their cap for years to come. If the Cowboys get one or both done, though, they can structure the contract(s) in a way to allow them to work on deals to keep guys like Tony Pollard and Leighton Vander Esch -- or even add outside-of-the-building free agents.
Under-the-radar offseason priority: Dallas has to get Michael Gallup going. The wideout signed a five-year, $57 million deal last March, and the Cowboys knew 2022 would be a transition year for Gallup, who was coming back from a torn ACL. He did not have more than five catches for 63 yards in a game. They need him to be a bigger factor in the passing game, and the second year off a major knee injury is often when the player returns to 100%. -- Todd Archer
Will they re-sign running back Tony Pollard? No. The Cowboys have a major running back investment in Ezekiel Elliott, and retaining Pollard wouldn't be cheap. He'll have a robust free agent market after finishing with 1,378 scrimmage yards (19th in the NFL). Teams will monitor his recovery from a fractured left fibula suffered in the Cowboys' divisional-round loss. -- Yates
Draft outlook: Defensive tackle, cornerback and safety are the thin points of the Cowboys' defense, and Dallas could also look at the offensive line on draft weekend. Corners Devon Witherspoon (Illinois) and Emmanuel Forbes (Mississippi State) are early-round prospects who fit the Cowboys' mold. -- Reid
Big prediction for the offseason: The Cowboys will surprise many fans by taking either a wide receiver or a tight end with their first-round draft pick in 2023. A top wide receiver would be for Lamb what he was for Amari Cooper -- a young talent who could begin as the third receiver and then take over as the No. 1 if the Cowboys decide in two years that they can't pay Lamb in free agency. And a top tight end would be a replacement for Dalton Schultz, who is playing this year on the franchise tag. -- Schatz
Buffalo Bills
2022 record: 13-3
Final FPI ranking: No. 1
Estimated 2023 cap space: minus-$5.0 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 7
First-round slot: No. 27
Biggest offseason priority: How will the upcoming defensive holes be filled? Both safety Jordan Poyer and linebacker Tremaine Edmunds are scheduled to hit free agency this offseason, and each has played a significant role in the defense during the team's rise. Poyer -- who had four interceptions and eight pass breakups in 12 games this season -- and the Bills could not reach an agreement on a contract extension during the summer, and he just made his first Pro Bowl. Edmunds continues to play at a high level in his fifth season, posting 102 tackles in 2022. Can the Bills bring them back? And if not, how will they replace them?
Under-the-radar offseason priority: Buffalo should be looking for help along the interior of the offensive line. Entering 2023, a number of players -- especially on the interior -- are set to hit free agency, including Rodger Saffold III, David Quessenberry, Greg Van Roten and Ike Boettger. Adding young talent up front should be a priority, helping protect Josh Allen and giving the Bills a better opportunity to get the run game going earlier in the season. Buffalo's pass block win rates for both the guard and center positions ranked in the bottom half of the league in 2022. -- Alaina Getzenberg
Will they re-sign safety Jordan Poyer? Yes. Poyer continues to play at an extremely high level, and both sides have been interested in an extension for some time. He'll be entering the 2023 season at 32 years old, which makes this his best shot at one more lucrative deal. -- Yates
Draft outlook: As Alaina mentioned, the interior offensive line could be a point of emphasis in the offseason. Florida guard O'Cyrus Torrence is potentially a Day 1 target, but Alabama's Emil Ekiyor Jr. and USC's Andrew Vorhees are midrounders who could play a role. Safety could also be another position to watch, as both starting safeties -- Poyer and Micah Hyde -- have free agency looming over the next two offseasons. -- Reid
Big prediction for the offseason: The Bills will find an important additional target for Allen in the passing game by upgrading their slot receiver spot with free agent JuJu Smith-Schuster. Currently on a one-year contract with Kansas City, Smith-Schuster ranks in the top 20 for Football Outsiders' receiving DYAR metric, and he caught 78 passes for 933 yards this season. -- Schatz
New York Giants
2022 record: 9-7-1
Final FPI ranking: No. 12
Estimated 2023 cap space: $58.2 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 9
First-round slot: No. 25
Biggest offseason priority: Figure out what to do with quarterback Daniel Jones and running back Saquon Barkley. Both are free agents, and both are likely to return. Barkley finished fourth in rushing (1,312 yards), and Jones was seventh in QBR (60.7). But general manager Joe Schoen puts a price on everything. These deals have to work for both sides, and the likelihood is that one gets a reasonable long-term deal while the other falls under the franchise tag. There are a lot of moving parts this offseason for Schoen and the Giants.
Under-the-radar offseason priority: What will New York do with defensive lineman Leonard Williams? There is no debating he's a good player for the Giants, but he is currently slated to cost an eye-popping $32.3 million against the salary cap next season off an injury-plagued year. That is just not reasonably palatable for a player who had 2.5 sacks on the season. Whether it's renegotiating the current deal, extending him or severing ties, something needs to happen. -- Jordan Raanan
Will they re-sign quarterback Daniel Jones? Yes. Jones and Barkley are obvious priority retentions for the G-Men, but Jones gets the mention here because of positional value. A franchise tag is a logical starting point. Jones threw just 15 touchdown passes in 2022, but he kept his interception count to five, completed 67.2% of his throws and rushed for over 700 yards. -- Yates
Draft outlook: Wide receiver dominates the Giants' needs list and must be a Round 1 focus for Schoen. Ohio State's Jaxon Smith-Njigba is a dream target if he's available. With nine projected draft picks, Schoen and coach Brian Daboll can find receivers while also making additions to the cornerback and linebacker groups early in the draft. -- Miller
Big prediction for the offseason: The Giants will not re-sign Barkley to a large second contract. Schoen and Daboll come from Buffalo, and one thing they learned with the Bills was not to prioritize paying running backs over building a passing game. The Giants will let Barkley sign elsewhere and use that money to improve the receiver room and/or the interior offensive line. -- Schatz
Jacksonville Jaguars
2022 record: 9-8
Final FPI ranking: No. 7
Estimated 2023 cap space: minus-$5.3 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 9
First-round slot: No. 24
Biggest offseason priority: The Jaguars have to re-sign tight end Evan Engram. His 73 catches for 766 yards were career highs and single-season franchise records for a tight end, and he proved to be a much better blocker than even coach Doug Pederson anticipated. Engram signed a one-year deal for $9 million, and it'll take more than that annually to get him back -- but it's an investment the Jaguars have to make.
Under-the-radar offseason priority: The Jaguars need to figure out what scheme best fits their personnel on defense. They ran a 3-4, but outside linebackers Josh Allen and Travon Walker are better suited to be defensive ends in a 4-3, which would allow the Jaguars to get linebackers Chad Muma and Devin Lloyd on the field on either side of Foye Oluokun. Walker had one of his most productive games when the Jaguars put him in a three-point stance and also let him rush from the inside. -- Mike DiRocco
Will they re-sign offensive tackle Jawaan Taylor? Yes. The cost is going to be substantial, as Taylor peaked at the right time in the season. The Jaguars' decision to go all-in on Trevor Lawrence's supporting cast paid major dividends this year, and they have one more season before Lawrence is extension eligible. A deal with a per year average of $15-plus million could be on tap. -- Yates
Draft outlook: Even after acquiring Calvin Ridley, the Jaguars should look to add receivers for Lawrence. TCU's Quentin Johnston is an option in Round 1, and SMU's Rashee Rice could be an intriguing Day 2 addition. And finding a cornerback running mate opposite Tyson Campbell would be another potential task early in the draft. -- Reid
Big prediction for the offseason: The Jaguars will draft tight end Michael Mayer (Notre Dame) with their first-round pick, giving Lawrence an exciting target. Jacksonville's top three tight ends (Engram, Chris Manhertz and Dan Arnold) will all be free agents. -- Schatz
Teams that were eliminated in the wild-card round
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2022 record: 8-9
Final FPI ranking: No. 11
Estimated 2023 cap space: minus-$42.2 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 7
First-round slot: No. 19
Biggest offseason priority: It will all be about the quarterback position, as Tom Brady isn't under contract next season and announced that he is retiring on Feb. 1. What happens next will determine if the Bucs are realistically still in win-now mode or if they need to switch gears toward rebuilding. At 45 years old, Brady finished 18th in QBR at 52.6 but still threw for the league's third-most passing yardage (4,694).
Under-the-radar offseason priority: Defensive backs Jamel Dean, Sean Murphy-Bunting and Mike Edwards are all set to become unrestricted free agents. Murphy-Bunting is particularly interesting because he lost his No. 2 cornerback position this year to Dean, but he was lights out at the end of the season. He broke up seven passes and had two interceptions this season. Tampa Bay will need to examine the defensive back group and see what it can do with the salary cap in mind. -- Jenna Laine
Will they re-sign linebacker Lavonte David? Yes. David should not be overlooked. If the Bucs were to pivot toward a youth movement, keeping David is a different conversation, but I firmly believe he carries immense value for the franchise, regardless of where it is at in its trajectory. His leadership is rare, and he had 124 tackles, three sacks and five pass breakups this season. -- Yates
Draft outlook: Florida's Anthony Richardson could make sense schematically as a fit here in Round 1. The interior offensive line needs work, too, and the front office could even target a young tight end -- maybe Utah's Dalton Kincaid? -- in Round 3 while continuing to add to the secondary throughout the draft. -- Miller
Baltimore Ravens
2022 record: 10-7
Final FPI ranking: No. 10
Estimated 2023 cap space: $52.3 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 5
First-round slot: No. 22
Biggest offseason priority: Baltimore's top priority is obvious. It has to either franchise tag or extend quarterback Lamar Jackson. The Ravens and Jackson are scheduled to resume contract talks at the end of the season, and this season has done nothing to help negotiations, with Jackson injured in December for the second straight year. However, Baltimore struggled on offense without Jackson; it was tied for sixth in NFL in points per game with Jackson (24.1) and ranked 27th without (14.6). The most likely outcome is the exclusive franchise tag, which will pay Jackson $45 million in 2023 and limit what the team can do in free agency.
Under-the-radar offseason priority: The Ravens have to improve this wide receiver group. The Ravens will get back Rashod Bateman, who missed the final nine regular season games with a foot injury, but Baltimore still needs more help to boost a wideout group that ranked last in the NFL with 1,517 yards receiving. Could the Ravens make a big move and trade for DeAndre Hopkins? -- Jamison Hensley
Will they re-sign cornerback Marcus Peters? No. A presumed franchise tag for Jackson will take up a healthy chunk of Baltimore's cap space, while Peters could be looking for one final contract splash at age 30. He's still a productive player, but injuries have limited him to 13 regular-season games over the past two seasons. -- Yates
Draft outlook: The Ravens have just five draft picks in the upcoming class to add talent at wide receiver, cornerback and edge rusher. They need to find a wideout running mate for Bateman, and this class should offer a few potential pass-catchers in the Ravens' first-round range. -- Miller
Big prediction for the offseason: The Ravens will finally sign Jackson to a new long-term contract by finding a compromise regarding the deal's guaranteed money. His 64.7 QBR since being drafted in 2018 is fifth in the league over that time, and he is too important to Baltimore's offense. -- Schatz
Minnesota Vikings
2022 record: 13-4
Final FPI ranking: No. 18
Estimated 2023 cap space: minus-$5.8 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 4
First-round slot: No. 23
Biggest offseason priority: Before they do anything else, the Vikings must decide whether to keep their veteran core together or begin breaking it up. They squeezed more wins from it in 2022 than most thought possible, but they will have to move on at some point. Quarterback Kirk Cousins will be 35 years old next season. Safety Harrison Smith (34), receiver Adam Thielen (33), cornerback Patrick Peterson (33), linebacker Eric Kendricks (31) and even running back Dalvin Cook (28) will merit scrutiny.
Under-the-radar offseason priority: The Vikings' defense ranked 31st in the NFL in yards allowed (388.7) and tied for 28th in points allowed per game (25.1), and coach Kevin O'Connell had to prod defensive coordinator Ed Donatell -- publicly and privately -- to make schematic and personnel changes. Minnesota fired Donatell in the days after the team's playoff loss, and it must find a way to play better defense in 2023. -- Kevin Seifert
Will they re-sign defensive tackle Dalvin Tomlinson? No. Tomlinson is rock solid and should command a nice salary on the open market as a gifted pass-rusher and big-body run-stuffer. Minnesota will walk a bit of a salary cap tightrope this offseason, as the team will surely be motivated to pay wide receiver Justin Jefferson on a deal that will potentially be the richest ever for a wideout. -- Yates
Draft outlook: With the team's struggles on defense, pass-rusher and cornerback are the two biggest areas of need. Peterson is on a one-year deal, and the team lacks depth at the position. South Carolina's Cam Smith and Utah's Clark Phillips III can both play outside or in the slot. -- Reid
Big prediction for the offseason: The Vikings will cut veteran linebackers Kendricks and Jordan Hicks to clear cap room to give Jefferson a Tyreek Hill-level contract extension. The Vikings are $6 million in the cap hole for 2023, so they'll need to make room if they want to make Jefferson extra happy with an early extension. -- Schatz
Miami Dolphins
2022 record: 9-8
Final FPI ranking: No. 17
Estimated 2023 cap space: minus-$2.5 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 5
First-round slot: None
Biggest offseason priority: The Dolphins will be attending to their defense. It's a multifaceted ask, which obviously begins with getting healthy; the Dolphins lost four starters to season-ending injuries in 2022 and played most of the season with a patchwork secondary. But they will also need to decide whether injuries or defensive coordinator Josh Boyer (who was fired in the days after the team's wild-card round loss) are more to blame for a disappointing season. Miami's pass defense was 27th in the league (234.8 yards allowed per game), and it had more takeaways than just the Raiders (14).
Under-the-radar offseason priority: Next up, fix the special teams. The Dolphins were 31st in yards per kick return (18.9) and yards per punt return (5.8) and allowed the eighth-most yards per punt return (10.4) and most yards per kick return (27.9) in the NFL. Kicker Jason Sanders' efficiency from 50 or more yards declined over the past two seasons, too, and his misses altered or halted momentum in several games. -- Marcel Louis-Jacques
Will they re-sign linebacker Elandon Roberts? Yes. The Dolphins have a lot of work to do on defense, but Roberts should be a priority to keep. He's a team captain, physical enforcer and adept blitzer. A raise on his current deal of $2.75 million would be deserved after 104 tackles and 4.5 sacks. -- Yates
Draft outlook: The Dolphins must be creative in filling holes on the offensive line and secondary with no first-rounder and just five total picks. They could target a cornerback like Mississippi State's Emmanuel Forbes in Round 2 and a running back like Ole Miss' Zach Evans in Round 3 to shore up weaknesses. -- Miller
Big prediction for the offseason: The Dolphins will sign free agent cornerback Jonathan Jones away from the Patriots, helping their own secondary and hurting a rival at the same time. Like a number of other ex-Patriots defenders who have gone to the Dolphins recently, Jones fits the Miami scheme, which uses man coverage more than most NFL defenses. The Dolphins will need cornerbacks, as Nik Needham will be a free agent, and they are likely to cut ties with Byron Jones. -- Schatz
Los Angeles Chargers
2022 record: 10-7
Final FPI ranking: No. 9
Estimated 2023 cap space: minus-$8.8 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 7
First-round slot: No. 21
Biggest offseason priority: After a crushing loss in the wild-card game, Los Angeles will be looking to sign quarterback Justin Herbert to a long-term extension. The 2020 sixth overall pick is now eligible to sign an extension, and the Chargers need to get it done as soon as possible. Herbert has been among the top talents at the position over three seasons, proven not only by superior statistics but also his ability to lead the Chargers this season to their first playoff appearance since 2018. It will be costly, however, with Herbert expected to command more than $50 million per year.
Under-the-radar offseason priority: They have to fix the run game. An investment in Herbert means the Bolts also must invest in creating an environment in which the quarterback can succeed. Herbert has not had a consistent run game to lean on throughout his career. Since 2020 -- when the Bolts ranked 18th in rushing yards through the season -- the run game has been on steady decline. This season, despite Austin Ekeler's ability to punch in short touchdowns, the rushing attack ranked among the league's worst (89.7 yards per game, 30th) and was one of just five to average fewer than four yards per carry (3.8). -- Lindsey Thiry
Will they re-sign linebacker Drue Tranquill? Tranquil did it all in the middle of the Bolts' defense and had, by far, his best season in 2022. He was among the most indispensable defenders on the roster this year and finished the regular season with 144 tackles, 5.5 sacks and an interception. -- Yates
Draft outlook: There are needs along the interior defensive line, but speed at wide receiver is near the top of the Chargers' wish list. Tennessee's Jalin Hyatt and Boston College's Zay Flowers could both be options in Round 1, but should L.A. focus on the defensive side of things, keep an eye on Baylor's Siaki Ika as a Day 2 target who would be a significant upgrade in the Chargers' lineup. -- Reid
Big prediction for the offseason: The Chargers will select a cornerback with their first-round pick in the upcoming draft. It would help replace free agent nickelback Bryce Callahan and provide some insurance in case J.C. Jackson can never be the same player in the Chargers' system that he was in the Patriots' system. I like Colorado's Christian Gonzalez and South Carolina's Cam Smith in that draft range. -- Schatz
Seattle Seahawks
2022 record: 9-8
Final FPI ranking: No. 20
Estimated 2023 cap space: $52.0 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 10
First-round slot: Nos. 5, 20
Biggest offseason priority: No quarterback is under contract beyond 2022, and the Seahawks have a Geno Smith decision to make. Smith proved during his unexpected Pro Bowl season that he's worthy of remaining the starter, but that will require a new contract with a massive raise. The Seahawks still have confidence in Drew Lock and would ideally have him continue to develop behind Smith, but he's also set to become an unrestricted free agent. Making things more interesting is the fact that the Seahawks have the Broncos' early pick in the draft, where a few high-end passers could be available.
Under-the-radar offseason priority: Fixing the front seven of their defense is Priority 1B. The Denver draft pick might position them for a standout defender, but the Seahawks need more than just that. Jordyn Brooks will be coming off a torn ACL, and Cody Barton is a free agent, so inside linebacker is another area that must be addressed. Seattle was 27th in defensive EPA (minus-40.4). -- Brady Henderson
Will they re-sign quarterback Geno Smith? Yes. This one could not be any easier. Yes! While Seattle will be in position to draft a top quarterback, Smith was so impressive and has earned a massive raise. He finished sixth in QBR (61.1) and completed a league-high 69.8% of his passes. The franchise tag is the safety net for Seattle if a long-term deal can't be reached early in the offseason. -- Yates
Draft outlook: With two first-rounders, the Seahawks have to get better up the middle on defense. They will perhaps be in contention for Georgia's Jalen Carter or Alabama's Will Anderson Jr. with the first of the two, and either could be a franchise-altering player. -- Reid
Big prediction for the offseason: The Seahawks will get back to old habits and trade down in the first round. Yes, their pick from Denver is potentially high enough to land them one of the top pass-rushers, but they have to build on both sides of the ball. And of course, they'll take another running back later in the draft because they always do. -- Schatz
18 teams that didn't make the NFL playoffs (alphabetical order)
Arizona Cardinals
2022 record: 4-13
Final FPI ranking: No. 30
Estimated 2023 cap space: $33.7 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 8
First-round slot: No. 3
Biggest offseason priority: Arizona needs to take a long, hard look in the mirror and figure out what went wrong and how it can fix it. That could mean a complete overhaul inside the building. Arizona fired coach Kliff Kingsbury and hired Monti Ossenfort as their GM on Jan. 16, but the rebuild could extend to a full roster revamp. Yes, the Cardinals have a franchise quarterback in Kyler Murray, who's coming back from an ACL injury to his right knee at some point next season. But other than that, don't be surprised if the Cards look very different in 2023.
Under-the-radar offseason priority: Re-signing defensive end Zach Allen will need to be a priority. He's not a big name, but he impacted Arizona's defensive front in a big way, providing 5.5 sacks, 47 tackles and 16 pass breakups. With J.J. Watt retiring, the Cardinals can't afford to lose Allen, who's built in the same model of Watt's frame. -- Josh Weinfuss
Will they re-sign cornerback Byron Murphy Jr.? Yes. Murphy is a home-grown talent set to enter the prime of his career at a premium position. The deal won't be cheap for a player with his ability, but there's little reason to move on from him, regardless of the direction of the team. Murphy was limited to nine games this season, but he had four interceptions and 12 pass breakups in 2021. -- Yates
Draft outlook: The defensive line needs talent at tackle and edge rusher. Arizona could target one of the top-tier prospects early in Round 1, but with three projected picks on Day 2, the Cardinals could also look at Notre Dame's Isaiah Foskey or Michigan's Mazi Smith to rebuild the defensive line. The Cardinals had 36 sacks this season, tied for 23rd in the NFL. -- Miller
Big prediction for the offseason: The Cardinals will cut veteran wide receiver Robbie Anderson, who had seven catches in 10 games with the team this year. Cutting Anderson trims $12 million off the Arizona cap for 2023 with no dead money. -- Schatz
Atlanta Falcons
2022 record: 7-10
Final FPI ranking: No. 22
Estimated 2023 cap space: $69.9 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 8
First-round slot: No. 8
Biggest offseason priority: The Falcons have to decide on the quarterback position. They got a four-game sample of rookie Desmond Ridder, but was it enough? If they don't think so, the Falcons need to find a higher-end veteran who makes sense with their roster or use a first-round pick on a QB. But if they feel good about Ridder's outlook, then they can focus on other areas in the offseason and find a capable backup to compete with Ridder. Ridder completed 63.5% of his passes, but his yards per attempt is 6.2 (would be outside the NFL's top 30 if it qualified).
Under-the-radar offseason priority: Atlanta needs edge rushers and interior defensive linemen. For sustained success, it needs an influx of free agent and draft talent there after finishing 31st in sacks this season (21). In addition, a second starting cornerback opposite A.J. Terrell is necessary to either replace or learn from Casey Hayward if he is back in 2023. -- Michael Rothstein
Will they re-sign offensive tackle Kaleb McGary? Yes. McGary has had a breakout season in his fourth year that will make for a huge payday. Atlanta should eventually solve its quarterback quandary, but ensuring whoever is throwing the passes has a dependable line in front of him is key. McGary could be looking at $12-plus million per year on his next contract. -- Yates
Draft outlook: Atlanta has to get better in the trenches, and with an early selection yet again, it has the chance to do that on draft night. After taking the best player available over the past two drafts (Kyle Pitts and Drake London), the Falcons have to look at defense. Clemson's Myles Murphy and Texas Tech's Tyree Wilson are excellent pass-rushers who could be possibilities on Day 1. -- Reid
Big prediction for the offseason: The Falcons will cut quarterback Marcus Mariota, who was benched for Ridder. Cutting Mariota opens up $12 million in cap space with $2.5 million of dead money. -- Schatz
Carolina Panthers
2022 record: 7-10
Final FPI ranking: No. 19
Estimated 2023 cap space: $1 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 7
First-round slot: No. 9
Biggest offseason priority: The Panthers found a coach but still need to find a quarterback. Interim coach Steve Wilks made a strong case to take the permanent job after getting Carolina back in the playoff hunt after a rough start to the season, but Carolina opted to hire Frank Reich. At QB, Sam Darnold could return as a bridge option, even though he's not the long-term answer. But don't be surprised if Darnold moves on and Reich looks toward the draft to find his guy. (Updated Jan. 26)
Under-the-radar offseason priority: Carolina should re-sign running back D'Onta Foreman after a huge second half. He's 26 years old and can be kept at a reasonable price. Foreman gave the Panthers stability at a key position after Christian McCaffrey was traded at midseason, rushing for 914 yards on 203 carries. The Panthers were near the top of the NFL in rushing (1,668 yards) after Week 6. -- David Newton
Will they re-sign center Bradley Bozeman? Yes. Carolina got Bozeman on what seemed at the time like a value deal ($2.8 million for this season), and it has turned out to be exactly that. Bozeman has been dependable, parlaying his play into a payday that could be $10 million or more per year. His 95.5% pass block win rate ranked in the top 10 among centers in 2022. -- Yates
Draft outlook: Finding a franchise QB is the first order of business in Carolina, and with their early pick, the Panthers have a shot at landing Kentucky's Will Levis or Florida's Anthony Richardson. But if the Panthers find a passer via trade or free agency, wide receiver -- perhaps TCU's Quentin Johnston or USC's Jordan Addison -- is next on the draft needs list. With two picks in the second round, the Panthers could check a lot of boxes on the first two days, including potentially landing a starting quarterback, receiver and cornerback. -- Miller
Big prediction for the offseason: The Panthers will sign defensive end Brian Burns to a large extension in order to establish him as one of the foundational pieces of their team and lower his $16 million cap cost for 2023. The fourth-year player had 12.5 sacks in 2022. -- Schatz
Chicago Bears
2022 record: 3-14
Final FPI ranking: No. 32
Estimated 2023 cap space: $118.1 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 8
First-round slot: No. 1
Biggest offseason priority: The Bears have their franchise quarterback but now must build around Justin Fields. That starts with addressing the offensive line -- center and right tackle should be the priorities -- in free agency to ensure Fields isn't among the most sacked quarterbacks (55, tied for the most) in the NFL for a second straight year. Chicago also needs to bring in at least two impact receivers to close the talent gap in that room. No Bears wide receiver broke 500 receiving yards this season.
Under-the-radar offseason priority: Chicago should also think about tweaking the defensive scheme. The ineffectiveness of Chicago's pass rush is the result of more than just the caliber of players up front. The Bears were forced to dial up more blitz packages than normally expected from this defensive system and still ranked last in sacks (20). -- Courtney Cronin
Will they re-sign running back David Montgomery? No. This one is tricky, as Montgomery is so respected by the organization and the Bears have more cap space than any other team. But with Khalil Herbert and Trestan Ebner on the depth chart, Chicago might decide to allocate the resources elsewhere -- like receiver, offensive line or cornerback. -- Yates
Draft outlook: Edge rusher and defensive tackle will dominate the conversation for the Bears with their first-rounder. Alabama's Will Anderson Jr. and Georgia's Jalen Carter are the top two players in the class, and the Bears would instantly get better by drafting either at No. 1 overall. Wide receiver in Round 2 is a must in a good class for the position. -- Miller
Big prediction for the offseason: The Bears will trade for a wide receiver. One great candidate would be the Broncos' Jerry Jeudy, a 2024 free agent. Denver might not have the cap space to retain him, and he'd be a big boost to Chicago's offense. -- Schatz
Cleveland Browns
2022 record: 7-10
Final FPI ranking: No. 20
Estimated 2023 cap space: $1.9 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 8
First-round slot: None
Biggest offseason priority: The Browns had one of the worst run defenses in the NFL this season. Cleveland ranked near the bottom of the league in defensive rush EPA despite improving overall late in the year. It was woefully undersized at defensive tackle and linebacker, which allowed opposing offenses to pound them between the tackles. So the Browns have to beef up the run defense. With a hefty salary cap and limited draft capital because of the Deshaun Watson trade, that won't be easy to accomplish.
Under-the-radar offseason priority: The Browns' special teams had another down season. However it happens, Cleveland needs to find a way to finally make its special teams a positive. It had just one return TD (a Donovan Peoples-Jones punt return), and kicker Cade York was among the NFL's worst in field goal percentage (75%). -- Jake Trotter
Will they re-sign edge rusher Jadeveon Clowney? No. Clowney's recent comments to Cleveland.com make a separation inevitable. He had two sacks and seems destined for a new home. -- Yates
Draft outlook: The Browns lack a first-rounder after the Watson trade and must use their eight picks in Rounds 2-7 to address the wide receiver and defensive line needs. North Carolina's Josh Downs would slot in perfectly opposite Amari Cooper and will likely be available in Round 2 for Cleveland. Defensive tackle is arguably the team's biggest need, though, and the Browns are more likely to find a rotational option like Pitt's Calijah Kancey in Round 3. -- Miller
Big prediction for the offseason: The Browns will sign free agent Yannick Ngakoue to a big contract in another attempt to get a bookend pass-rusher who can help take attention away from Myles Garrett. They might need to restructure Garrett's contract and free up short-term cap space to make it happen, but Ngakoue had 9.5 sacks in 2022 with the Colts. -- Schatz
Denver Broncos
2022 record: 5-12
Final FPI ranking: No. 26
Estimated 2023 cap space: $14.2 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 6
First-round slot: None
Biggest offseason priority: Denver found its coach (Sean Payton) after firing Nathaniel Hackett, but the Broncos will be focusing on fixing the offense. Yes, they dealt with plenty of injuries, but quarterback Russell Wilson has to make better decisions with the football, and the protection needs to improve for when Wilson tries to push the ball down the field. The Broncos were tied for 28th in points (16.8 per game), 30th in QBR (34.7) and 23rd in yards per play (5.1).
Under-the-radar offseason priority: The defense was consistent but didn't create enough turnovers because it couldn't generate enough pressure with the pass rush. Denver needs more of a presence on the edge, whether that be via the draft or free agency. -- Jeff Legwold
Will they re-sign guard Dalton Risner? Yes. We'll spend all offseason talking about whether or not the Broncos can get Wilson back on track, but the offensive line play should not be overlooked. Risner has been a plug-and-play starter for Denver and should stick around long term. He has a 93.1% career pass block win rate, top-20 among guards since being drafted in 2019. -- Yates
Draft outlook: The Broncos traded their first-rounder for Wilson and then dealt the 49ers' pick to New Orleans. There are major needs here, including offensive line and cornerback depth, but Denver would have to wait until Day 2 to address them. -- Miller
Detroit Lions
2022 record: 9-8
Final FPI ranking: No. 16
Estimated 2023 cap space: $27.7 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 8
First-round slot: Nos. 6, 18
Biggest offseason priority: All eyes will be on whether quarterback Jared Goff -- who revived his career with a 62.5 QBR (fifth) -- stays in Detroit. The Lions have a shot at landing a franchise quarterback in the draft. And while Goff is signed through 2024, the Lions could move on with a $10 million dead-cap hit. So they'll have to decide whether they view him as more than a bridge quarterback and how they want to approach the QB position.
Under-the-radar offseason priority: No surprise here, but the Lions have to continue developing the defense. It allowed the most yards per play (6.2) and ranked 31st in defensive efficiency, and it desperately needs more game-changers, particularly in the secondary. -- Eric Woodyard
Will they re-sign running back Jamaal Williams? Yes. This strikes me as a pretty perfect fit between team and player from both an on-field and character perspective. Williams is a leader and tone-setter for a team whose success is derived in part from a great culture. Williams rushed for 1,066 yards and 17 touchdowns. -- Yates
Draft outlook: With glaring needs at defensive line, cornerback and linebacker, the Lions will likely bolster the defense early on Day 1. Clemson's Bryan Bresee, Clemson's Myles Murphy and Texas Tech's Tyree Wilson are all scheme fits, but if Detroit opts to wait until the later rounds to address the defensive front, Alabama's Byron Young and Georgia Tech's Keion White are two intriguing prospects to watch. And yes, quarterback could be in play depending on the offseason plans. -- Reid
Big prediction for the offseason: The Lions will go on a defensive spending spree, with veteran defenders attracted to playing for no-nonsense coach Dan Campbell. Lavonte David will set the tone for the defense next to Malcolm Rodriguez at inside linebacker. James Bradberry will give the Lions a solid veteran cornerback to line up opposite Jeff Okudah. At safety, Vonn Bell replaces DeShon Elliott next to second-year free safety Kerby Joseph. -- Schatz
Green Bay Packers
2022 record: 8-9
Final FPI ranking: No. 8
Estimated 2023 cap space: minus-$5.4 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 10
First-round slot: No. 15
Biggest offseason priority: The Packers need to sort out the quarterback(s). They can't do much until they know what Aaron Rodgers wants to do in 2023, and more than $59 million in guaranteed money is waiting for him if he plays next season. And then there's Jordan Love. Green Bay must decide by May whether to pick up his fifth-year option. And if Rodgers does return, perhaps Love would ask for a trade and another team would make an offer the Packers can't refuse. Green Bay finished 25th in QBR (40.4).
Under-the-radar offseason priority: David Bakhtiari and Aaron Jones are both under contract through 2024, but they have massive roster bonuses due in March -- $9.5 million for Bakhtiari and $7 million for Jones. The way their extensions were designed, 2023 was the first year the Packers could move on and gain salary-cap relief. Their ages and injury histories will factor into that decision. -- Rob Demovsky
Will they re-sign returner/defensive back Keisean Nixon? Yes. While not the Packers' free agent likely to get the most money, Nixon became extremely valuable as a game-altering return man, averaging 28.8 yards per kickoff return and 12.7 yards per punt return. The Packers will have flexibility issues in re-signing guys at premium positions, but Nixon won't cost a massive amount. -- Yates
Draft outlook: There are long-term needs to think about at safety, tight end and edge rusher, but the Packers could finally use a first-rounder on a wide receiver -- like USC's Jordan Addison, if available. Even with the rise of rookie Christian Watson, the Packers need more help in the passing game. A tandem of Addison and Georgia tight end Darnell Washington in the first two rounds could change this franchise. -- Miller
Big prediction for the offseason: The Packers will refresh their receiver room. Allen Lazard, Randall Cobb and Robert Tonyan are all free agents, and the Packers will let all three leave to save cap space. Yes, even Cobb. Expect rookies and low-cost Kendrick Bourne-types to supplement top receivers Watson and Romeo Doubs. -- Schatz
Houston Texans
2022 record: 3-13-1
Final FPI ranking: No. 27
Estimated 2023 cap space: $46.7 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 12
First-round slot: Nos. 2, 12
Biggest offseason priority: The Texans have work to do, starting with figuring out the plan at quarterback. The Texans fired Lovie Smith after Week 18 and are hiring DeMeco Ryans. But the Texans don't have an answer at QB after using three different signal-callers in Davis Mills, Jeff Driskel and Kyle Allen. Together, they threw 20 interceptions and averaged 196.7 yards passing (bottom third).
Under-the-radar offseason priority: Regardless of who is at QB, Houston also has to upgrade the receiving corps. With leading receiver Brandin Cooks wanting out of Houston, the Texans will have to revamp an already struggling group. No receiver broke 700 yards receiving this season. -- DJ Bien-Aime
Will they re-sign wide receiver Chris Moore? Yes. The Texans have the cap space to keep pretty much any of their free agents, and Moore should stick around. The receiver room is likely to experience plenty of change, but Moore deserves credit for the way he stepped up. The cost won't be prohibitive, and Moore caught 48 passes for 548 yards in 2022. -- Yates
Draft outlook: With 12 total picks -- including two first-rounders -- the Texans are in a prime position to collect a lot of talent in April. Finding a long-term solution under center is priority No. 1, though. Alabama's Bryce Young, Ohio State's C.J. Stroud and Kentucky's Will Levis are the three names to know. I recently mocked Young to Houston, but that was at No. 1, the Texans' projected spot entering Week 18. Their win dropped them to No. 2 on the board. Other needs include receiver, defensive line and interior offensive line. -- Reid
Big prediction for the offseason: The Texans will trade Cooks and try to replace him by drafting a first-round receiver with the pick they received from Cleveland in the Deshaun Watson trade. They can pair that receiver with whichever quarterback they select second overall. -- Schatz
Indianapolis Colts
2022 record: 4-12-1
Final FPI ranking: No. 31
Estimated 2023 cap space: $29.5 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 7
First-round slot: No. 4
Biggest offseason priority: The Colts have a lot of challenges, but nothing is more important than developing a plan at quarterback. The Colts have had a revolving door of starters since 2019, and there seems to be serious momentum toward reversing that trend. The disappointing results of the past two seasons with Carson Wentz and Matt Ryan likely forces them to change directions and invest a high draft pick at the position. Indy was low on the board in QBR at 37.7.
Under-the-radar offseason priority: The Colts can't achieve success at quarterback until they stabilize their offensive line. The unit has been the backbone of the offense in recent seasons, but it fell apart in 2022. Indianapolis allowed 60 sacks and was last in pass block win rate (47.2%). If the Colts don't fix this, their potential young quarterback might be doomed. -- Stephen Holder
Will they re-sign edge rusher Yannick Ngakoue? Yes. Ngakoue has switched teams a lot for a player who is 27 years old, but that should stop this offseason. The Colts are in a rebuild, but this one could be executed in a hurry if they figure out their QB room. Ngakoue is a sack specialist (9.5 in 2022), and a deal could come to around $15 million per season. -- Yates
Draft outlook: The Colts should be all-in on Ohio State's C.J. Stroud to restart the franchise. There are needs at left tackle and for more pass-rushers, but the Colts' roster isn't as bad as the record indicates. With seven projected draft picks, general manager Chris Ballard has room to make major fixes. -- Miller
Big prediction for the offseason: Perhaps nothing surprising here, but the Colts will choose a young quarterback with their first-rounder, finally getting the team off the veteran quarterback carousel that they've been riding since Andrew Luck retired. -- Schatz
Las Vegas Raiders
2022 record: 6-11
Final FPI ranking: No. 29
Estimated 2023 cap space: $34.6 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 11
First-round slot: No. 7
Biggest offseason priority: Figure out who will play quarterback. Derek Carr is moving on after he was benched for the final two games. Next year's starter will likely be someone with experience in coach Josh McDaniels' system. Could it be Jimmy Garoppolo? Mac Jones via a trade? And don't count out Jarrett Stidham being the guy, though he is on an expiring contract.
Under-the-radar offseason priority: The Raiders will consider using the $40 million saved on Carr's contract to address the defense and give defensive end Maxx Crosby much-needed help. Yes, free agency and the draft should both be aimed at defense. Las Vegas was near the bottom of the league in defensive EPA (minus-82.2) and passing yards allowed per game (242.9). -- Paul Gutierrez
Will they re-sign running back Josh Jacobs? Yes. It will be an offseason of change in Las Vegas, but retaining Jacobs should be near the top of the to-do list. While running back is mainly a replaceable position, Jacobs is elite and means a lot to the program. He was named a team captain late in the season when the incumbent captains requested it. That speaks volumes. It might be a deal worth $14 million or so per year after Jacobs led the league in rushing with 1,653 yards. -- Yates
Draft outlook: Their early first-rounder could net the Raiders a shot at a top-tier quarterback prospect like Ohio State's C.J. Stroud or Kentucky's Will Levis, but there are also needs on the offensive line and at defensive tackle. General manager Dave Ziegler is projected to have 11 picks to work with before any potential trade of Carr, so the Raiders have the draft capital to make a massive turnaround. -- Miller
Los Angeles Rams
2022 record: 5-12
Final FPI ranking: No. 24
Estimated 2023 cap space: $1.8 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 10
First-round slot: None
Biggest offseason priority: The Rams have to make sure quarterback Matthew Stafford is healthy and ready for the offseason program. They have taken every step in that direction, putting Stafford on injured reserve after his second time in the concussion protocol and allowing him to heal from a spinal cord contusion. Having a healthy Stafford on the field for OTAs -- which wasn't the case in 2022 -- will get the offseason program started on the right foot and give him more time with any offensive additions.
Under-the-radar offseason priority: Los Angeles has to sort out its coordinators for 2023. Offensive coordinator Liam Coen returned to Kentucky after one season in L.A. to serve as Wildcats coordinator, and Mike LaFleur will replace him. But Raheem Morris -- who has been the Rams defensive coordinator for the past two seasons -- could again receive interviews for open head-coaching jobs. -- Sarah Barshop
Will they re-sign quarterback Baker Mayfield? No. For all the practical reasons, the Rams should want Mayfield back. He was impressive as a late-season waiver add and would add insurance at the most important position. But Mayfield's late-season stretch (four passing TDs over five games) might have priced himself out of a return to the Rams, who already have many huge contracts on the books for 2023. -- Yates
Draft outlook: The Rams are without a first-round selection again this year, but they do have a second- and third-round pick -- and they need help off the edge. Kansas State's Felix Anudike-Uzomah and Army's Andre Carter II fit as excellent pass-rushers who can get home on the QB. -- Reid
Big prediction for the offseason: The Rams will trade cornerback Jalen Ramsey. In a post-June 1 move, this would still be $8.2 million of dead money on their salary cap, but it's also $17 million in cap savings. And it would let the Rams fill out their roster with a few decent starters right away and add an additional draft pick or two. Ramsey had four interceptions and 20 pass breakups in 2022. -- Schatz
New England Patriots
2022 record: 8-9
Final FPI ranking: No. 13
Estimated 2023 cap space: $54.2 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 11
First-round slot: No. 14
Biggest offseason priority: Fixing the offense. Quarterback Mac Jones didn't make the anticipated second-year jump, and coach Bill Belichick's assessment as to why will be critical. How much of it was the unconventional coaching hires of leaning on those with limited experience on offense? How much was streamlining the offensive scheme? How much of it was Jones himself? The second-year QB posted a 32.7 QBR and had a lackluster 14-11 touchdown-to-interception ratio.
Under-the-radar offseason priority: Can the Patriots address the potential leadership void? If defensive back Devin McCourty and receiver/special-teamer Matthew Slater aren't back, who takes their place as captains? They have been long-term pillars of what Belichick wants the Patriots to represent. -- Mike Reiss
Will they re-sign wide receiver Jakobi Meyers? Yes. Meyers has been one of the Patriots' best recent player development stories, as he has emerged into an extremely consistent player. He has the ability to be a steady No. 2 or No. 3 receiver, which could run a bill of $10-plus million per year. Meyers had 804 receiving yards and six TDs. -- Yates
Draft outlook: Left tackle and wide receiver sit atop the list of priorities. Northwestern's Peter Skoronski and Georgia's Broderick Jones could be first-round options, but Oklahoma's Anton Harrison and Syracuse's Matthew Bergeron are worth a look on Day 2 along the O-line. Both have skill sets that might translate into future starters. -- Reid
New Orleans Saints
2022 record: 7-10
Final FPI ranking: No. 14
Estimated 2023 cap space: minus-$38.8 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 8
First-round slot: No. 29
Biggest offseason priority: The Saints are in a tough position with quarterback Andy Dalton's contract expiring and work to be done on the salary cap. So finding a quarterback won't be an easy task. Jameis Winston's future also seems uncertain after the team stuck with Dalton as the starter. Resolving the quarterback situation should be priority No. 1. The Saints were middle-of-the-road in QBR (52.5), but there isn't a long-term answer here.
Under-the-radar offseason priority: The Saints kept almost all of Sean Payton's coaching staff for 2022, but if Dennis Allen stays for a second season, he'll need to tweak things offensively. That could mean moving on from offensive coordinator Pete Carmichael, among other staff changes. (The Saints are hiring Joe Woods as their new defensive coordinator.) -- Katherine Terrell
Will they re-sign defensive tackle David Onyemata? Yes. Onyemata is a good player. He's tough, long, physical and great against the run. And he collapses the pocket as a pass-rusher, getting five sacks this season. The Saints will have minimal cap flexibility, but I have little doubt that they will find a way to make it work if they want to re-sign Onyemata. The price tag could be a tick above his last deal ($9 million per year), though. -- Yates
Draft outlook: After trading their first-round pick to the Eagles, the Saints got back into the first round when they traded coach Sean Payton to the Broncos. There's a gaping hole at quarterback, but it will be difficult for the Saints to find their future quarterback at No. 29 or on Day 2. But there are also needs along the defensive line and in the secondary. Baylor's Siaki Ika is a wide-bodied interior defensive tackle who could be available in the second round, and Illinois' Jartavius Martin -- who has experience at multiple defensive back spots -- is projected to be a late-Day 2 or early-Day 3 pick. There are options. -- Reid
Big prediction for the offseason: The Saints will re-sign Dalton to be their quarterback. The roster is a salary-cap nightmare, which makes it difficult to trade for or sign a big-name quarterback. They might as well bring back Dalton, who has been reasonable (18 TDs, nine interceptions over 14 games). It will probably be similar in cost to the one-year, $3 million deal they struck for 2022. -- Schatz
New York Jets
2022 record: 7-10
Final FPI ranking: No. 23
Estimated 2023 cap space: $15.3 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 6
First-round slot: No. 13
Biggest offseason priority: Zach Wilson was benched twice and showed no signs of being the long-term answer -- an epic fail based on his No. 2 overall draft status. He completed 54.5% of his passes (by far the worst in the league) and threw more picks than TDs. Wilson or Mike White (free agent) could fill the backup role, but the Robert Saleh-Joe Douglas regime needs a proven QB1 who can galvanize their skill-position talent. Derek Carr and Jimmy Garoppolo are two of the more logical options.
Under-the-radar offseason priority: Cut bait on overpriced veterans. Defensive end Carl Lawson ($15.3 million cap), wide receiver Corey Davis ($11.2 million) and tight end C.J. Uzomah ($10.3 million) loom as potential cap casualties. Linebacker C.J. Mosley ($22.5 million) could fall into that category, too, but there might be a way to renegotiate there. The Jets have too much money tied up in underperforming players. -- Rich Cimini
Will they re-sign defensive tackle Sheldon Rankins? Yes. While the Jets need to fix their offense to take their success to higher levels, ensuring that the defense doesn't step back is also essential. Rankins fits the scheme, alleviates some pressure from Quinnen Williams and helps defend the run. He has earned a multiyear deal. -- Yates
Draft outlook: The quarterback situation has to be sorted out first, but regardless of who is under center, left tackle remains a need. Mekhi Becton has played 15 games since being drafted in 2020, and none since September 2021. Georgia's Broderick Jones would be an ideal Round 1 pick at left tackle, leaving the Jets to worry about safety and linebacker in Rounds 2-3. -- Miller
Big prediction for the offseason: The Jets will sign Garoppolo in free agency. It simply makes too much sense not to happen, especially since Saleh is familiar with his game from his time in San Francisco. -- Schatz
Pittsburgh Steelers
2022 record: 9-8
Final FPI ranking: No. 12
Estimated 2023 cap space: $17.4 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 6
First-round slot: No. 17
Biggest offseason priority: Finding consistency on offense. Yes, the offense has looked better and was a factor in the 7-2 record after the Week 9 bye. But the team has major red zone struggles (51.9% red zone percentage, outside the top 20 in the NFL) and doesn't consistently move the football. While offensive coordinator Matt Canada has gradually improved as a playcaller, it might not be enough to justify sticking with his system for a third year. Only five teams averaged fewer yards per play than the Steelers' 5.0.
Under-the-radar offseason priority: Can the Steelers find help for the secondary? A true lockdown corner never emerged after the team declined to re-sign Joe Haden. Arthur Maulet and Cameron Sutton have solid versatility, but the team could use a true No. 1 corner to round out the group. Pittsburgh gave up 7.5 yards per passing attempt, 29th in the league. -- Brooke Pryor
Will they re-sign cornerback Cameron Sutton? Yes. Sutton continues to improve and is among the top cornerbacks set to hit the market. He'll earn a decided raise from his $4.5 million average annual value deal that he is currently playing on, but Pittsburgh has the resources to ensure Sutton -- who had three picks and 15 pass breakups -- sticks around at a position where it needs plenty of depth. -- Yates
Draft outlook: Improving the offensive line must be a key point of emphasis, followed by finding cornerback help. Ohio State's Paris Johnson Jr. and Georgia's Broderick Jones are options in Round 1, while Ohio State's Dawand Jones and North Dakota State's Cody Mauch are Day 2 possibilities at offensive tackle. -- Reid
Big prediction for the offseason: The Steelers will move on from Canada and bring in a young assistant coach who can move the offense in a more modern direction. The offense is better than standard stats indicate. It was middle-of-the-road in DVOA despite being 24th in points per game (17.7). And the Steelers were in the bottom half of the NFL in the use of motion and play-action this season. -- Schatz
Tennessee Titans
2022 record: 7-10
Final FPI ranking: No. 28
Estimated 2023 cap space: minus-$18.5 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 6
First-round slot: No. 11
Biggest offseason priority: Offensive improvement is a priority for the Titans, who had an NFL-high 59 three-and-out drives. Running back Derrick Henry had a bounce-back season, but there was a significant lack of balance on offense. The passing game yielded just 16 touchdowns, and Tennessee had a pass catcher post a 100-yard receiving game twice this season.
Under-the-radar offseason priority: The offensive line could see changes. Left tackle Taylor Lewan holds a $14.8 million cap hit and is coming off a torn ACL. Center Ben Jones had multiple concussions in 2022. And right guard Nate Davis is set to hit free agency. Tennessee was near the bottom of the NFL in pass block win rate at 53.8%. -- Turron Davenport
Will they re-sign guard Nate Davis? Yes. The identity of the Titans has been a team that will overwhelm you physically and earn everything over the course of 60 minutes. The road-grading Davis personifies this mentality and is deserving of a new deal. The guard market is going up, so this could be eight figures per season. -- Yates
Draft outlook: The Titans have to start thinking about the future with quarterback Ryan Tannehill injured and ineffective this season. A first-round quarterback is unlikely, but Kentucky's Will Levis could be available. But how about left tackle or pass-rusher? If the Titans go that direction, they should have plenty of Day 1 options. -- Miller
Big prediction for the offseason: The Titans will cut left tackle Lewan. The three-time Pro Bowler has played only 20 games over the past three seasons, and the Titans can get out of his $14.8 million salary for 2023 without any dead money on their cap. -- Schatz
Washington Commanders
2022 record: 8-8-1
Final FPI ranking: No. 25
Estimated 2023 cap space: $17.4 million
Total 2023 draft picks: 8
First-round slot: No. 16
Biggest offseason priority: Finding a new owner. Nothing matters more than who will buy the team from Dan Snyder. It'll set the direction for the next few decades, impact where the next stadium will be built and determine who will coach the team (a decision likely made after the 2023 season, given the timing of a possible sale). It could also help reignite the fan base, though winning must follow.
Under-the-radar offseason priority: Who is the quarterback? The Carson Wentz experiment failed, and in the past five years, Washington has started 12 quarterbacks. The failures stem from injuries, owner interference and poor evaluation. The Commanders' 39.4 QBR was 26th in the league. -- John Keim
Will they re-sign defensive tackle Daron Payne? Yes. Washington's strength is its front seven, and Payne is a shop-wrecker. He's everything you could ask for in a defensive building block and has earned a deal that could fetch nearly $20 million per season. Payne posted 11.5 sacks in 2022. -- Yates
Draft outlook: With a pick in the middle of the first round, the Commanders could miss out on the top three quarterbacks. Florida's Anthony Richardson is intriguing, but he will be a developmental prospect not likely to be ready in 2023. If the top QBs aren't available, Washington can focus on flipping a secondary that needs talent at safety and cornerback. This franchise loves former Alabama players, and defensive back Brian Branch is a great fit. -- Miller
Big prediction for the offseason: The Commanders will cut Wentz, saving $26.2 million on the salary cap for 2023. Only Davis Mills had a lower QBR this season than Wentz's 33.0, and the Washington QB was benched for Taylor Heinicke. -- Schatz